Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 18 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress radiational cooling. Persistent moisture and urban heat effects in the Yangtze River Delta limit temperature drops compared to drier historical analogs, while any clearing overnight could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns creates the tight market split between the top two outcomes, with resolution depending on official Shanghai Meteorological Service observations at the primary urban station. Updated guidance from the next model runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
27°C 43%
26°C 39%
28°C 12%
25°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
39%
27°C
43%
28°C
12%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 43%
26°C 39%
28°C 12%
25°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$462 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$30 Vol.
39%
27°C
$66 Vol.
43%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$40 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 18 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress radiational cooling. Persistent moisture and urban heat effects in the Yangtze River Delta limit temperature drops compared to drier historical analogs, while any clearing overnight could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns creates the tight market split between the top two outcomes, with resolution depending on official Shanghai Meteorological Service observations at the primary urban station. Updated guidance from the next model runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,075Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 18 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress radiational cooling. Persistent moisture and urban heat effects in the Yangtze River Delta limit temperature drops compared to drier historical analogs, while any clearing overnight could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns creates the tight market split between the top two outcomes, with resolution depending on official Shanghai Meteorological Service observations at the primary urban station. Updated guidance from the next model runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,075Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 18 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that suppress radiational cooling. Persistent moisture and urban heat effects in the Yangtze River Delta limit temperature drops compared to drier historical analogs, while any clearing overnight could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns creates the tight market split between the top two outcomes, with resolution depending on official Shanghai Meteorological Service observations at the primary urban station. Updated guidance from the next model runs will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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