Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow linked to a distant typhoon system. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C at stations like Xujiahui, but the current pattern favors values at or above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities heavily weighting 27°C (51%) and 28°C (36.5%) reflect this consensus, with lower odds for cooler outcomes due to the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine the exact minimum for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
25°C 8%
26°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
25°C 8%
26°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C in Shanghai on August 28, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and easterly flow linked to a distant typhoon system. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C at stations like Xujiahui, but the current pattern favors values at or above that baseline. Market-implied probabilities heavily weighting 27°C (51%) and 28°C (36.5%) reflect this consensus, with lower odds for cooler outcomes due to the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine the exact minimum for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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