Recent global model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 near 24–25°C, consistent with late-September climatology under typical Mediterranean conditions of moderate northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and regional pressure gradients limit overnight cooling, while minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or humidity levels introduce spread around this central range. With leading market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes, traders appear to be pricing substantial uncertainty in the exact low, driven by potential shifts in forecast guidance over the next 48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26?
18°C or below 92%
28°C or higher 92%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
18°C or below
92%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
30%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
92%
18°C or below 92%
28°C or higher 92%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
18°C or below
92%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
30%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent global model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 near 24–25°C, consistent with late-September climatology under typical Mediterranean conditions of moderate northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and regional pressure gradients limit overnight cooling, while minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or humidity levels introduce spread around this central range. With leading market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes, traders appear to be pricing substantial uncertainty in the exact low, driven by potential shifts in forecast guidance over the next 48 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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