Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 21 have stabilized overnight temperatures, supporting the market's strong 92% implied probability for a 22°C low. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate minimal radiational cooling under these overcast, humid conditions with northerly winds, keeping the minimum near 22–24°C (72–76°F) consistent with recent model consensus. This positioning aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing overnight that enhances radiative heat loss or a revised observational reading falling to 21°C or below from the Japan Meteorological Agency station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
22°C 92%
21°C 5%
19°C 2%
20°C 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
92%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 5%
19°C 2%
20°C 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
$332 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,013 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$576 Vol.
2%
20°C
$570 Vol.
2%
21°C
$927 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,707 Vol.
92%
23°C
$1,196 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 21 have stabilized overnight temperatures, supporting the market's strong 92% implied probability for a 22°C low. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate minimal radiational cooling under these overcast, humid conditions with northerly winds, keeping the minimum near 22–24°C (72–76°F) consistent with recent model consensus. This positioning aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing overnight that enhances radiative heat loss or a revised observational reading falling to 21°C or below from the Japan Meteorological Agency station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,444Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 21 have stabilized overnight temperatures, supporting the market's strong 92% implied probability for a 22°C low. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate minimal radiational cooling under these overcast, humid conditions with northerly winds, keeping the minimum near 22–24°C (72–76°F) consistent with recent model consensus. This positioning aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing overnight that enhances radiative heat loss or a revised observational reading falling to 21°C or below from the Japan Meteorological Agency station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,444Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 21 have stabilized overnight temperatures, supporting the market's strong 92% implied probability for a 22°C low. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate minimal radiational cooling under these overcast, humid conditions with northerly winds, keeping the minimum near 22–24°C (72–76°F) consistent with recent model consensus. This positioning aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing overnight that enhances radiative heat loss or a revised observational reading falling to 21°C or below from the Japan Meteorological Agency station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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