Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Tokyo low near 21–22 °C on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover and residual moisture following Typhoon 25’s passage, which limits nighttime radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Historical September averages place typical overnight lows near 20–22 °C, with current conditions aligning closely due to elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow suppressing further drops. Traders appear to favor the 22 °C outcome because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation below 21 °C absent stronger high pressure or clear skies, though updated Japan Meteorological Agency runs could shift probabilities if drier air arrives earlier than expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
22°C 48%
21°C 26%
23°C 21%
18°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 23, 2026
17°C or below
15%
18°C
17%
19°C
16%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
48%
23°C
21%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
13%
22°C 48%
21°C 26%
23°C 21%
18°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 23, 2026
17°C or below
$20 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$37 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Tokyo low near 21–22 °C on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover and residual moisture following Typhoon 25’s passage, which limits nighttime radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Historical September averages place typical overnight lows near 20–22 °C, with current conditions aligning closely due to elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow suppressing further drops. Traders appear to favor the 22 °C outcome because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation below 21 °C absent stronger high pressure or clear skies, though updated Japan Meteorological Agency runs could shift probabilities if drier air arrives earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$57Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Tokyo low near 21–22 °C on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover and residual moisture following Typhoon 25’s passage, which limits nighttime radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Historical September averages place typical overnight lows near 20–22 °C, with current conditions aligning closely due to elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow suppressing further drops. Traders appear to favor the 22 °C outcome because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation below 21 °C absent stronger high pressure or clear skies, though updated Japan Meteorological Agency runs could shift probabilities if drier air arrives earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Tokyo low near 21–22 °C on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover and residual moisture following Typhoon 25’s passage, which limits nighttime radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Historical September averages place typical overnight lows near 20–22 °C, with current conditions aligning closely due to elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow suppressing further drops. Traders appear to favor the 22 °C outcome because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation below 21 °C absent stronger high pressure or clear skies, though updated Japan Meteorological Agency runs could shift probabilities if drier air arrives earlier than expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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