Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 8–10°C for Warsaw on September 13, with trader consensus centered on 7–9°C amid tight probabilities reflecting model spread. Light winds and increasing cloud cover from a southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling after daytime highs around 19–21°C, while dew points near 7–9°C constrain how far temperatures can fall. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight divergences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, creating the narrow gap between leading outcomes. Historical September minima average near 10°C, so a dip toward 7°C would require stronger nocturnal cooling than recent guidance suggests. Updated model runs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology later today could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
5°C or below 35%
15°C or higher 33%
13°C 32%
8°C 31%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
35%
6°C
9%
7°C
31%
8°C
31%
9°C
26%
10°C
17%
11°C
10%
12°C
9%
13°C
32%
14°C
5%
15°C or higher
33%
5°C or below 35%
15°C or higher 33%
13°C 32%
8°C 31%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
$90 Vol.
35%
6°C
$100 Vol.
9%
7°C
$19 Vol.
31%
8°C
$0 Vol.
31%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
10%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C or higher
$33 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 8–10°C for Warsaw on September 13, with trader consensus centered on 7–9°C amid tight probabilities reflecting model spread. Light winds and increasing cloud cover from a southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling after daytime highs around 19–21°C, while dew points near 7–9°C constrain how far temperatures can fall. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight divergences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, creating the narrow gap between leading outcomes. Historical September minima average near 10°C, so a dip toward 7°C would require stronger nocturnal cooling than recent guidance suggests. Updated model runs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology later today could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$242Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 8–10°C for Warsaw on September 13, with trader consensus centered on 7–9°C amid tight probabilities reflecting model spread. Light winds and increasing cloud cover from a southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling after daytime highs around 19–21°C, while dew points near 7–9°C constrain how far temperatures can fall. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight divergences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, creating the narrow gap between leading outcomes. Historical September minima average near 10°C, so a dip toward 7°C would require stronger nocturnal cooling than recent guidance suggests. Updated model runs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology later today could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$242Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 8–10°C for Warsaw on September 13, with trader consensus centered on 7–9°C amid tight probabilities reflecting model spread. Light winds and increasing cloud cover from a southwesterly flow limit radiative cooling after daytime highs around 19–21°C, while dew points near 7–9°C constrain how far temperatures can fall. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight divergences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any clearing, creating the narrow gap between leading outcomes. Historical September minima average near 10°C, so a dip toward 7°C would require stronger nocturnal cooling than recent guidance suggests. Updated model runs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology later today could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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