Latest forecast model runs from MetService, Yr, and international guidance indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall between 8–12°C, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air and increased cloud cover that reduces overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes at 50% implied probability each reflects this narrow range, while 13°C or higher at 50% captures model spread from stronger northerlies. Persistent El Niño conditions favor westerly flows overall but yield to local high-pressure influences this weekend, keeping values near or slightly above the September climatological average low near 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wellington on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 26?
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
5°C 39%
6°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 26, 2026
3°C or below
2%
4°C
38%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
38%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
38%
12°C
39%
13°C or higher
<1%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
5°C 39%
6°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 26, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
4°C
$0 Vol.
38%
5°C
$0 Vol.
39%
6°C
$0 Vol.
39%
7°C
$0 Vol.
38%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from MetService, Yr, and international guidance indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall between 8–12°C, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air and increased cloud cover that reduces overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes at 50% implied probability each reflects this narrow range, while 13°C or higher at 50% captures model spread from stronger northerlies. Persistent El Niño conditions favor westerly flows overall but yield to local high-pressure influences this weekend, keeping values near or slightly above the September climatological average low near 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from MetService, Yr, and international guidance indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall between 8–12°C, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air and increased cloud cover that reduces overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes at 50% implied probability each reflects this narrow range, while 13°C or higher at 50% captures model spread from stronger northerlies. Persistent El Niño conditions favor westerly flows overall but yield to local high-pressure influences this weekend, keeping values near or slightly above the September climatological average low near 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47de9d...Latest forecast model runs from MetService, Yr, and international guidance indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall between 8–12°C, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air and increased cloud cover that reduces overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes at 50% implied probability each reflects this narrow range, while 13°C or higher at 50% captures model spread from stronger northerlies. Persistent El Niño conditions favor westerly flows overall but yield to local high-pressure influences this weekend, keeping values near or slightly above the September climatological average low near 9°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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