Meta’s Mango model, an image and video generation system developed alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang, was internally targeted for a first-half 2026 launch following its December 2025 reveal. Development has faced headwinds, including a March 2026 delay for Avocado after internal benchmarks showed it lagging rivals like Gemini 3.0 in reasoning and coding. An April 2026 report indicated plans to eventually open-source versions of these models from Meta’s Superintelligence Labs, though proprietary elements and safety reviews remain in play. Traders are watching for any official announcements, developer conferences, or earnings commentary that could clarify whether Mango meets the original H1 window or slips further amid competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMeta "Mango" model released by...?
$26,596 Vol.
June 30
14%
$26,596 Vol.
June 30
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Mango model, an image and video generation system developed alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang, was internally targeted for a first-half 2026 launch following its December 2025 reveal. Development has faced headwinds, including a March 2026 delay for Avocado after internal benchmarks showed it lagging rivals like Gemini 3.0 in reasoning and coding. An April 2026 report indicated plans to eventually open-source versions of these models from Meta’s Superintelligence Labs, though proprietary elements and safety reviews remain in play. Traders are watching for any official announcements, developer conferences, or earnings commentary that could clarify whether Mango meets the original H1 window or slips further amid competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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