Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding 91% implied probability of carrying Genesee County in the November 2026 Michigan Senate general election due to the county's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support for the party's 2024 Senate nominee and primary results showing competitive but favorable urban and working-class voter coalitions. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens, positioning him to benefit from established turnout patterns among Black voters, union households, and younger demographics in the Flint area. Mike Rogers trails at 8% as the Republican nominee, reflecting historical barriers for GOP candidates in this swing-state county despite his prior statewide name recognition. Late developments such as additional labor endorsements or shifts in independent voter sentiment could narrow the margin, though a county flip would require unusually high Republican mobilization or unforeseen national events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
33%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
48%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
$0 Vol.
33%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$122 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding 91% implied probability of carrying Genesee County in the November 2026 Michigan Senate general election due to the county's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support for the party's 2024 Senate nominee and primary results showing competitive but favorable urban and working-class voter coalitions. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens, positioning him to benefit from established turnout patterns among Black voters, union households, and younger demographics in the Flint area. Mike Rogers trails at 8% as the Republican nominee, reflecting historical barriers for GOP candidates in this swing-state county despite his prior statewide name recognition. Late developments such as additional labor endorsements or shifts in independent voter sentiment could narrow the margin, though a county flip would require unusually high Republican mobilization or unforeseen national events.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$122Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding 91% implied probability of carrying Genesee County in the November 2026 Michigan Senate general election due to the county's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support for the party's 2024 Senate nominee and primary results showing competitive but favorable urban and working-class voter coalitions. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens, positioning him to benefit from established turnout patterns among Black voters, union households, and younger demographics in the Flint area. Mike Rogers trails at 8% as the Republican nominee, reflecting historical barriers for GOP candidates in this swing-state county despite his prior statewide name recognition. Late developments such as additional labor endorsements or shifts in independent voter sentiment could narrow the margin, though a county flip would require unusually high Republican mobilization or unforeseen national events.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Volume
$122Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed holds a commanding 91% implied probability of carrying Genesee County in the November 2026 Michigan Senate general election due to the county's consistent Democratic lean, including strong support for the party's 2024 Senate nominee and primary results showing competitive but favorable urban and working-class voter coalitions. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August primary victory over Haley Stevens, positioning him to benefit from established turnout patterns among Black voters, union households, and younger demographics in the Flint area. Mike Rogers trails at 8% as the Republican nominee, reflecting historical barriers for GOP candidates in this swing-state county despite his prior statewide name recognition. Late developments such as additional labor endorsements or shifts in independent voter sentiment could narrow the margin, though a county flip would require unusually high Republican mobilization or unforeseen national events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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