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Halalan·Primarya Ng Pennsylvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Halalan·Primarya Ng Pennsylvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 57%

Ryan Crosswell 38%

Lamont McClure 3.9%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.6%

Polymarket

$15,884 Vol.

Bob Brooks 57%

Ryan Crosswell 38%

Lamont McClure 3.9%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.6%

Polymarket

$15,884 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$2,104 Vol.

57%

Ryan Crosswell

$2,629 Vol.

38%

Lamont McClure

$3,411 Vol.

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$4,163 Vol.

3%

Aiden Gonzalez

$1,468 Vol.

1%

Lewis Shupe

$2,109 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 57.5% to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his leadership as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Chris Deluzio, and the Working Families Party, and strong Q1 2026 fundraising totaling $423,000 with $544,000 cash on hand. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% support among primary voters after biographical information, ahead of Ryan Crosswell's 18%, reflecting his working-class appeal in the competitive Lehigh Valley battleground. Crosswell, at 37.5%, leads spending at $917,000 disbursed and $715,000 cash, bolstered by individual donors, positioning him as a formidable challenger amid total Democratic outlays exceeding $2 million. Recent super PAC buys supporting Brooks and forum debates have sharpened the top-two contest, though questions linger over Brooks' debate performances and past legal disputes, with no public polling yet confirming a clear leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,884
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 57.5% to win Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, driven by his leadership as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Chris Deluzio, and the Working Families Party, and strong Q1 2026 fundraising totaling $423,000 with $544,000 cash on hand. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% support among primary voters after biographical information, ahead of Ryan Crosswell's 18%, reflecting his working-class appeal in the competitive Lehigh Valley battleground. Crosswell, at 37.5%, leads spending at $917,000 disbursed and $715,000 cash, bolstered by individual donors, positioning him as a formidable challenger amid total Democratic outlays exceeding $2 million. Recent super PAC buys supporting Brooks and forum debates have sharpened the top-two contest, though questions linger over Brooks' debate performances and past legal disputes, with no public polling yet confirming a clear leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,884
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bob Brooks" sa 57%, sinusundan ng "Ryan Crosswell" sa 38%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 57¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $15.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Bob Brooks" sa 57%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ryan Crosswell" sa 38%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.