The open seat in Richmond, vacated by the retiring CAQ incumbent, has produced a competitive multi-party contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. Trader consensus reflects this through closely matched probabilities for Bernard Sévigny (PQ), Hugo Fontaine (PLQ), David Poulin-Latulippe (QS), Dominic Bouffard (PCQ), and Guillaume Rousseau (CAQ), alongside elevated pricing on Other. Recent candidate announcements and the writ drop have highlighted regional priorities such as economic development, agricultural support, and sovereignty debates, while polling aggregators show no dominant frontrunner. Late-campaign events, turnout among francophone and rural voters, or shifts in provincial party standings could widen gaps before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDominic Bouffard 44%
Guillaume Rousseau 42%
Bernard Sévigny 29%
Hugo Fontaine 27%

Dominic Bouffard
44%

Guillaume Rousseau
42%

Bernard Sévigny
29%

Hugo Fontaine
27%

David Poulin-Latulippe
24%
Dominic Bouffard 44%
Guillaume Rousseau 42%
Bernard Sévigny 29%
Hugo Fontaine 27%

Dominic Bouffard
44%

Guillaume Rousseau
42%

Bernard Sévigny
29%

Hugo Fontaine
27%

David Poulin-Latulippe
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The open seat in Richmond, vacated by the retiring CAQ incumbent, has produced a competitive multi-party contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. Trader consensus reflects this through closely matched probabilities for Bernard Sévigny (PQ), Hugo Fontaine (PLQ), David Poulin-Latulippe (QS), Dominic Bouffard (PCQ), and Guillaume Rousseau (CAQ), alongside elevated pricing on Other. Recent candidate announcements and the writ drop have highlighted regional priorities such as economic development, agricultural support, and sovereignty debates, while polling aggregators show no dominant frontrunner. Late-campaign events, turnout among francophone and rural voters, or shifts in provincial party standings could widen gaps before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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