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icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jean-François Cloutier 49%

Nathalie Roy 47%

Mathieu Lavoie <1%

Ginette Langlois <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Jean-François Cloutier 49%

Nathalie Roy 47%

Mathieu Lavoie <1%

Ginette Langlois <1%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Jean-François Cloutier

Jean-François Cloutier

$1,095 Vol.

49%

icon for Nathalie Roy

Nathalie Roy

$1,804 Vol.

47%

icon for Mathieu Lavoie

Mathieu Lavoie

$619 Vol.

1%

icon for Ginette Langlois

Ginette Langlois

$942 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In Montarville, the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a close contest between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and National Assembly president Nathalie Roy and Parti Québécois challenger Jean-François Cloutier. Recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections from mid-September classify the riding as a toss-up, with CAQ and PQ support in the low-to-mid 30s amid a new electoral map and broader provincial deadlock where both parties hover near parity on issues such as sovereignty, housing, and economic priorities. Liberal Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois trail significantly, while nomination filings closed September 17 following the August 27 election call. Trader consensus reflects these narrow margins and limited late-campaign separation, with outcomes hinging on turnout among swing voters and any final-week shifts in regional polling.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,460
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In Montarville, the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a close contest between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and National Assembly president Nathalie Roy and Parti Québécois challenger Jean-François Cloutier. Recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections from mid-September classify the riding as a toss-up, with CAQ and PQ support in the low-to-mid 30s amid a new electoral map and broader provincial deadlock where both parties hover near parity on issues such as sovereignty, housing, and economic priorities. Liberal Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois trail significantly, while nomination filings closed September 17 following the August 27 election call. Trader consensus reflects these narrow margins and limited late-campaign separation, with outcomes hinging on turnout among swing voters and any final-week shifts in regional polling.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,460
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jean-François Cloutier" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Nathalie Roy" sa 52%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Jean-François Cloutier" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Nathalie Roy" sa 52%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.