Recent developments in Santa Catarina's Senate race center on fragmentation within the PL and broader conservative alliances. Carlos Bolsonaro's relocation and candidacy, formalized alongside Carol de Toni, disrupted prior arrangements favoring Governor Jorginho Mello and prompted Esperidião Amin's shift to another ticket. This has split Bolsonarista support, with competing claims on the same voter base and limited local roots for some contenders. Trader consensus around closely matched leading probabilities reflects these alliance uncertainties and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that could consolidate preferences ahead of the October 2026 vote. Further convention outcomes, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths in the multi-candidate field.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos Bolsonaro 53%
Carol de Toni 34%
Décio Lima 4.1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 4.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
53%
Carol de Toni
34%
Décio Lima
4%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
4%
Afrânio Boppré
4%
Esperidião Amin
4%
Joaninha de Oliveira
3%
Marlene Soccas
3%
Carol
3%
Jeferson da Rocha
3%
Lunelli
3%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%
Marcos Dorval
1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 53%
Carol de Toni 34%
Décio Lima 4.1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 4.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
$577 Vol.
53%
Carol de Toni
$1,122 Vol.
34%
Décio Lima
$122 Vol.
4%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$106 Vol.
4%
Afrânio Boppré
$122 Vol.
4%
Esperidião Amin
$106 Vol.
4%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$152 Vol.
3%
Marlene Soccas
$195 Vol.
3%
Carol
$106 Vol.
3%
Jeferson da Rocha
$106 Vol.
3%
Lunelli
$181 Vol.
3%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$380 Vol.
2%
Marcos Dorval
$74 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments in Santa Catarina's Senate race center on fragmentation within the PL and broader conservative alliances. Carlos Bolsonaro's relocation and candidacy, formalized alongside Carol de Toni, disrupted prior arrangements favoring Governor Jorginho Mello and prompted Esperidião Amin's shift to another ticket. This has split Bolsonarista support, with competing claims on the same voter base and limited local roots for some contenders. Trader consensus around closely matched leading probabilities reflects these alliance uncertainties and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that could consolidate preferences ahead of the October 2026 vote. Further convention outcomes, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths in the multi-candidate field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$3,352Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments in Santa Catarina's Senate race center on fragmentation within the PL and broader conservative alliances. Carlos Bolsonaro's relocation and candidacy, formalized alongside Carol de Toni, disrupted prior arrangements favoring Governor Jorginho Mello and prompted Esperidião Amin's shift to another ticket. This has split Bolsonarista support, with competing claims on the same voter base and limited local roots for some contenders. Trader consensus around closely matched leading probabilities reflects these alliance uncertainties and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that could consolidate preferences ahead of the October 2026 vote. Further convention outcomes, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths in the multi-candidate field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,352Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in Santa Catarina's Senate race center on fragmentation within the PL and broader conservative alliances. Carlos Bolsonaro's relocation and candidacy, formalized alongside Carol de Toni, disrupted prior arrangements favoring Governor Jorginho Mello and prompted Esperidião Amin's shift to another ticket. This has split Bolsonarista support, with competing claims on the same voter base and limited local roots for some contenders. Trader consensus around closely matched leading probabilities reflects these alliance uncertainties and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that could consolidate preferences ahead of the October 2026 vote. Further convention outcomes, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths in the multi-candidate field.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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