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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Smith 44%

Alex Pelbath 27%

Jay Byars 8.9%

Sam McCown 7%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mark Smith 44%

Alex Pelbath 27%

Jay Byars 8.9%

Sam McCown 7%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mark Smith

$2,086 Vol.

44%

Alex Pelbath

$1,532 Vol.

27%

Jay Byars

$444 Vol.

9%

Sam McCown

$1,059 Vol.

7%

Jack Ellison

$504 Vol.

5%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$514 Vol.

3%

Justin Myers

$529 Vol.

1%

Logan Cunningham

$664 Vol.

1%

Dan Brown

$437 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, bolstered by his early campaign launch, accumulation of over 50 legislative endorsements, and a narrow win in yesterday's Berkeley-Dorchester GOP forum straw poll (34.1% to Alex Pelbath's 29.5%). Pelbath, a retired Air Force colonel who piloted the last U.S. flight from Afghanistan, holds steady at 29.5% on his America First outsider appeal and veteran credentials amid a crowded field of 18 GOP contenders. Lower odds for Sam McCown (12.5%) and Jay Byars (9.6%) reflect limited momentum post-filing deadline, with sentiment hinging on fundraising disclosures and final debates in this open seat race vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,769
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, bolstered by his early campaign launch, accumulation of over 50 legislative endorsements, and a narrow win in yesterday's Berkeley-Dorchester GOP forum straw poll (34.1% to Alex Pelbath's 29.5%). Pelbath, a retired Air Force colonel who piloted the last U.S. flight from Afghanistan, holds steady at 29.5% on his America First outsider appeal and veteran credentials amid a crowded field of 18 GOP contenders. Lower odds for Sam McCown (12.5%) and Jay Byars (9.6%) reflect limited momentum post-filing deadline, with sentiment hinging on fundraising disclosures and final debates in this open seat race vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,769
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mark Smith" sa 44%, sinusundan ng "Alex Pelbath" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 44¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Dec 18, 2025. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Mark Smith" sa 44%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alex Pelbath" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.