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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

icon for Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Janeese Lewis George 100.0%

Kenyan McDuffie <1%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$154,625 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 100.0%

Kenyan McDuffie <1%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$154,625 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$18,152 Vol.

Yes

Kenyan McDuffie

$35,036 Vol.

No

Brianne K. Nadeau

$4,550 Vol.

No

Karl Racine

$3,446 Vol.

No

Zachary Parker

$2,935 Vol.

No

Brooke Pinto

$17,735 Vol.

No

Muriel Bowser

$3,292 Vol.

No

Robert White Jr.

$6,552 Vol.

No

Gary Goodweather

$20,159 Vol.

No

Christina Henderson

$35,516 Vol.

No

Phil Mendelson

$3,990 Vol.

No

Brian Schwalb

$3,261 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding lead in the June 16, 2026, Democratic primary for D.C. mayor following incumbent Muriel Bowser’s retirement after three terms. Early returns with roughly two-thirds of votes counted show her at approximately 53% compared to Kenyan McDuffie’s 37%, consistent with pre-election polling and her record-breaking individual donor base. Her “people-first” platform emphasizing housing production, tenant protections, affordable childcare, and utility cost relief mobilized strong grassroots support in a ranked-choice primary. Traders price her victory near certainty at 98.5% because no other candidate has demonstrated a viable path to overtake her in the remaining ballots. Late shifts remain theoretically possible through unusually skewed outstanding precincts or procedural delays, though current trends make such reversals highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$154,625
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding lead in the June 16, 2026, Democratic primary for D.C. mayor following incumbent Muriel Bowser’s retirement after three terms. Early returns with roughly two-thirds of votes counted show her at approximately 53% compared to Kenyan McDuffie’s 37%, consistent with pre-election polling and her record-breaking individual donor base. Her “people-first” platform emphasizing housing production, tenant protections, affordable childcare, and utility cost relief mobilized strong grassroots support in a ranked-choice primary. Traders price her victory near certainty at 98.5% because no other candidate has demonstrated a viable path to overtake her in the remaining ballots. Late shifts remain theoretically possible through unusually skewed outstanding precincts or procedural delays, though current trends make such reversals highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$154,625
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Janeese Lewis George" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Kenyan McDuffie" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" ay naka-generate ng $154.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" ay "Janeese Lewis George" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kenyan McDuffie" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.