Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty’s re-election bid anchors trader consensus in the Tennessee U.S. Senate race, with the state’s consistent Republican lean—last won by Democrats in 1990—and all major forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hagerty has secured strong fundraising and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 primary, while Democratic candidates remain low-profile with limited resources and no recent statewide success. This positioning produces the current 92.6% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$20,157 Vol.
$20,157 Vol.

Republican
92%

Democrat
3%
$20,157 Vol.
$20,157 Vol.

Republican
92%

Democrat
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty’s re-election bid anchors trader consensus in the Tennessee U.S. Senate race, with the state’s consistent Republican lean—last won by Democrats in 1990—and all major forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Hagerty has secured strong fundraising and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 primary, while Democratic candidates remain low-profile with limited resources and no recent statewide success. This positioning produces the current 92.6% Republican implied probability. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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