Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregators such as RealClearPolitics at 39.3 percent, the New York Times at 38 percent, and the Silver Bulletin near 38.5 percent. This positioning explains why traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range. Sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies has kept overall ratings underwater, even as Republican support remains in the 75–85 percent band across surveys. Individual polls released in late August and early September have clustered in the mid-to-high 30s, reinforcing the current market consensus ahead of any September 11 release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update38.0–38.4 75%
37.5–37.9 15%
38.5–38.9 3.8%
39.0–39.4 1.1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
16%
38.0–38.4
75%
38.5–38.9
4%
39.0–39.4
1%
39.5+
<1%
38.0–38.4 75%
37.5–37.9 15%
38.5–38.9 3.8%
39.0–39.4 1.1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$938 Vol.
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,329 Vol.
16%
38.0–38.4
$2,850 Vol.
75%
38.5–38.9
$2,381 Vol.
4%
39.0–39.4
$1,096 Vol.
1%
39.5+
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregators such as RealClearPolitics at 39.3 percent, the New York Times at 38 percent, and the Silver Bulletin near 38.5 percent. This positioning explains why traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range. Sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies has kept overall ratings underwater, even as Republican support remains in the 75–85 percent band across surveys. Individual polls released in late August and early September have clustered in the mid-to-high 30s, reinforcing the current market consensus ahead of any September 11 release.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$8,905Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregators such as RealClearPolitics at 39.3 percent, the New York Times at 38 percent, and the Silver Bulletin near 38.5 percent. This positioning explains why traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range. Sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies has kept overall ratings underwater, even as Republican support remains in the 75–85 percent band across surveys. Individual polls released in late August and early September have clustered in the mid-to-high 30s, reinforcing the current market consensus ahead of any September 11 release.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,905Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregators such as RealClearPolitics at 39.3 percent, the New York Times at 38 percent, and the Silver Bulletin near 38.5 percent. This positioning explains why traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range. Sustained public dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policies has kept overall ratings underwater, even as Republican support remains in the 75–85 percent band across surveys. Individual polls released in late August and early September have clustered in the mid-to-high 30s, reinforcing the current market consensus ahead of any September 11 release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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