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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Sep 11

Sep 18

Sep 11

Sep 18

Up

71% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO

Up

71% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates, including Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin updated September 11, show Trump’s net approval edging up modestly from a recent low near -20.6 to -19.5, reflecting small gains in several national surveys amid ongoing economic and foreign-policy pressures. Traders appear to weigh this incremental movement against persistent challenges, such as voter dissatisfaction with tariffs, cost-of-living trends, and the extended Iran conflict, which have kept overall ratings in the mid-to-high 30s approve range across aggregators. With midterms approaching, the current week’s implied probability favors a further modest rise, consistent with the “wisdom of crowds” reflected in real-money positioning rather than any single decisive event.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates, including Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin updated September 11, show Trump’s net approval edging up modestly from a recent low near -20.6 to -19.5, reflecting small gains in several national surveys amid ongoing economic and foreign-policy pressures. Traders appear to weigh this incremental movement against persistent challenges, such as voter dissatisfaction with tariffs, cost-of-living trends, and the extended Iran conflict, which have kept overall ratings in the mid-to-high 30s approve range across aggregators. With midterms approaching, the current week’s implied probability favors a further modest rise, consistent with the “wisdom of crowds” reflected in real-money positioning rather than any single decisive event.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 18, 2026, than on September 11, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" ay isang araw-araw prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares kung ang presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? ay magtatapos na mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa opening price nito sa loob ng araw-araw window na tinukoy sa titulo. Ang kasalukuyang market probability ay 71% para sa "Up." Ang presyong 71% ay nangangahulugang kolektibong binibigyan ng market ng 71% na tsansa ang outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga presyo sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na mga pagbabago ng presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay maaaring i-redeem ng $1 bawat isa kapag nag-resolve ang market.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" ay isang aktibong short-term market sa Polymarket. Maaaring mabilis na mag-accumulate ang trading volume habang umuusad ang araw-araw window — pumasok agad para tumulong sa pagtakda ng odds bago magsara ang window na ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Trump approval Up or Down this week?," magdesisyon kung naniniwala ka na ang presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? sa tanghali ET ng September 18 ay magiging mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? sa tanghali ET ng September 11. Bumili ng "Up" kung sa tingin mo tataas ang presyo araw-araw, o "Down" kung sa tingin mo bababa. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome sa resolution, nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1.00. Kung mali, ang mga share ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" ay 71% para sa "Up," na nangangahulugang ang Polymarket crowd ay kasalukuyang nagbibigay ng 71% na tsansa na ang presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? ay magtatapos na up sa araw-araw window na ito. Ang mga odds na ito ay nag-a-update sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na price data ng Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Sa buong araw, ang odds ay sumasalamin sa nagbabagong sentiment habang nagbubukas ang price action ng araw. Bumalik nang madalas o mag-trade ngayon bago magsara ang window.

Ang "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" market ay nire-resolve batay sa paghahambing ng presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? sa tanghali ET ng September 18 kumpara sa tanghali ET ng September 11, gamit ang Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. Kung mas mataas ang presyo sa September 18 sa tanghali, ang outcome ay "Up"; kung mas mababa, "Down"; kung pantay, ang market ay nire-resolve 50-50. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria at data source sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.