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Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly

Market icon
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly

AITC 57.9%

BJP 40.1%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$1,895,899 Vol.

AITC 57.9%

BJP 40.1%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$1,895,899 Vol.

Mananalo ba ang All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa halalan ng West Bengal Legislative Assembly sa 2026? icon

AITC

$102,269 Vol.

58%

Magwawagi ba ang Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) ng pinakamaraming upuan sa halalan ng West Bengal Legislative Assembly sa 2026? icon

BJP

$153,816 Vol.

40%

Mananalo ba ang Communist Party of India (CPI) ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI

$793,310 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba ang Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) ng pinakamaraming upuan sa 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI(M)

$30,875 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba ang Indian National Congress (INC) ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa halalan ng West Bengal Legislative Assembly sa 2026? icon

INC

$22,707 Vol.

<1%

Mananalo ba ang Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? icon

BGPM

$792,922 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Incumbent All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) holds a trader consensus edge at 58.7% implied probability to win the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS and C-VOTER that project AITC securing 140-180 seats in the 294-member house amid a tight contest with BJP at around 100-130 seats. Mamata Banerjee remains the top chief ministerial choice in surveys (42-48% preference), bolstering AITC's incumbency advantage despite BJP's surge in urban Kolkata and criticisms of governance failures on unemployment and development. The two-phase polls begin April 23 with counting May 4; negligible odds for CPI, CPI(M), INC, and BGPM underscore their marginal role outside potential alliances. Recent rallies by PM Modi and Amit Shah's "chargesheet" against AITC have intensified BJP's challenge, but polls show AITC retaining a narrow lead.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$1,895,899
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 29, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Incumbent All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) holds a trader consensus edge at 58.7% implied probability to win the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, reflecting recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS and C-VOTER that project AITC securing 140-180 seats in the 294-member house amid a tight contest with BJP at around 100-130 seats. Mamata Banerjee remains the top chief ministerial choice in surveys (42-48% preference), bolstering AITC's incumbency advantage despite BJP's surge in urban Kolkata and criticisms of governance failures on unemployment and development. The two-phase polls begin April 23 with counting May 4; negligible odds for CPI, CPI(M), INC, and BGPM underscore their marginal role outside potential alliances. Recent rallies by PM Modi and Amit Shah's "chargesheet" against AITC have intensified BJP's challenge, but polls show AITC retaining a narrow lead.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$1,895,899
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 29, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "AITC" sa 58%, sinusundan ng "BJP" sa 40%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 58¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly" ay naka-generate ng $1.9 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 23, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly" ay "AITC" sa 58%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "BJP" sa 40%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan sa West Bengal Legislative Assembly" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.