Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest to succeed retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, facing Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his party's primary with minimal opposition. Wyoming's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, including large margins for the party's presidential nominee in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus around Hageman's position. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general-election polling yet available to suggest movement. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national shift would be required to alter the trajectory, though historical patterns show Democrats have not won a Senate seat in the state since 1970.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,839 Vol.
$16,839 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,839 Vol.
$16,839 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,184 Vol.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest to succeed retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, facing Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his party's primary with minimal opposition. Wyoming's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, including large margins for the party's presidential nominee in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus around Hageman's position. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general-election polling yet available to suggest movement. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national shift would be required to alter the trajectory, though historical patterns show Democrats have not won a Senate seat in the state since 1970.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,839Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest to succeed retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, facing Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his party's primary with minimal opposition. Wyoming's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, including large margins for the party's presidential nominee in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus around Hageman's position. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general-election polling yet available to suggest movement. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national shift would be required to alter the trajectory, though historical patterns show Democrats have not won a Senate seat in the state since 1970.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,839Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest to succeed retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis, facing Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative who won his party's primary with minimal opposition. Wyoming's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, including large margins for the party's presidential nominee in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus around Hageman's position. Forecasts from multiple outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no general-election polling yet available to suggest movement. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national shift would be required to alter the trajectory, though historical patterns show Democrats have not won a Senate seat in the state since 1970.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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