Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posting volume from April 14-21, with 260-279 (18.5%) edging 280-299 (17.0%) and 240-259 (14.5%) close behind, reflecting uncertainty over his sustained pace amid variable engagement. As of April 16 midday, 74 posts mark 43% progress through the 8-day window, implying an early ~22 posts per day—below the prior week's 39 daily average (270 total for April 10-17)—but traders anticipate a rebound based on historical patterns of 30-40 posts during active periods. Ongoing viral clashes over Starlink's South Africa approval, including Musk labeling critics "racist scumbags" in heated replies, sustain high reply volume without explosive spikes, while immigration debates add steady commentary. Key swing factors include potential Tesla earnings buzz or political escalations through April 21, which could push toward 300+ or cap below 260.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi260-279 19%
280-299 18%
240-259 15%
300-319 14%
$4,064,236 Hac.
$4,064,236 Hac.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
2%
200-219
5%
220-239
11%
240-259
15%
260-279
19%
280-299
18%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 19%
280-299 18%
240-259 15%
300-319 14%
$4,064,236 Hac.
$4,064,236 Hac.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
2%
200-219
5%
220-239
11%
240-259
15%
260-279
19%
280-299
18%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posting volume from April 14-21, with 260-279 (18.5%) edging 280-299 (17.0%) and 240-259 (14.5%) close behind, reflecting uncertainty over his sustained pace amid variable engagement. As of April 16 midday, 74 posts mark 43% progress through the 8-day window, implying an early ~22 posts per day—below the prior week's 39 daily average (270 total for April 10-17)—but traders anticipate a rebound based on historical patterns of 30-40 posts during active periods. Ongoing viral clashes over Starlink's South Africa approval, including Musk labeling critics "racist scumbags" in heated replies, sustain high reply volume without explosive spikes, while immigration debates add steady commentary. Key swing factors include potential Tesla earnings buzz or political escalations through April 21, which could push toward 300+ or cap below 260.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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