Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi65-89 40%
40-64 26%
90-114 22%
115-139 9%
$215,521 Hac.
$215,521 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
<40
3%
40-64
26%
65-89
40%
90-114
22%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 26%
90-114 22%
115-139 9%
$215,521 Hac.
$215,521 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
<40
$38,685 Hac.
3%
40-64
$13,126 Hac.
26%
65-89
$8,928 Hac.
40%
90-114
$10,139 Hac.
22%
115-139
$13,064 Hac.
9%
140-164
$13,203 Hac.
2%
165-189
$23,006 Hac.
1%
190-214
$28,807 Hac.
<1%
215-239
$20,870 Hac.
<1%
240+
$46,332 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Hacim
$215,521Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$215,521Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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