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Siyaset·Swalwell

Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

Market icon
Siyaset·Swalwell

Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

20% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
20% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, including claims of assault from multiple women reported last week by CNN and the San Francisco Chronicle, have triggered a House Ethics Committee probe and preliminary criminal investigations by the Manhattan District Attorney and Los Angeles Sheriff's Department, yet no formal charges or indictment have been filed. This absence of prosecutorial action, despite Swalwell's April 13 resignation from Congress and suspended California governor bid, underpins trader consensus implying 80.5% probability of "No" charges by May 31. Earlier DOJ referral over alleged mortgage fraud and resurfaced Fang Fang spy scrutiny remain unresolved without advancement, as district attorney timelines typically exceed the six-week window amid his denials and legal challenges.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$27
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, including claims of assault from multiple women reported last week by CNN and the San Francisco Chronicle, have triggered a House Ethics Committee probe and preliminary criminal investigations by the Manhattan District Attorney and Los Angeles Sheriff's Department, yet no formal charges or indictment have been filed. This absence of prosecutorial action, despite Swalwell's April 13 resignation from Congress and suspended California governor bid, underpins trader consensus implying 80.5% probability of "No" charges by May 31. Earlier DOJ referral over alleged mortgage fraud and resurfaced Fang Fang spy scrutiny remain unresolved without advancement, as district attorney timelines typically exceed the six-week window amid his denials and legal challenges.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$27
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 20%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 20¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 20% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Apr 14, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 20%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 20% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.