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Elections·US Election

Hawaii Governor Election Winner

icon for Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

Hawaii Governor Election Winner

НОВЕ
Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Democrat

Democrat

$3,569 Обс.

94%

icon for Republican

Republican

$4,952 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Green benefits from incumbency, name recognition from his 2022 victory, and public approval tied to his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Republican primary contenders such as Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama remain low-profile with limited statewide support, while Democratic challengers in the August 8 primary have not emerged as serious threats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health-related withdrawal by Green, or an unusually strong Republican turnout, though these remain low-probability based on current polling and structural factors ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$8,521
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Green benefits from incumbency, name recognition from his 2022 victory, and public approval tied to his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Republican primary contenders such as Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama remain low-profile with limited statewide support, while Democratic challengers in the August 8 primary have not emerged as serious threats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health-related withdrawal by Green, or an unusually strong Republican turnout, though these remain low-probability based on current polling and structural factors ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$8,521
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Hawaii Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Democrat» з 94%, далі «Republican» з 3%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Hawaii Governor Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Oct 13, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Hawaii Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Hawaii Governor Election Winner» — «Democrat» з 94%. Наступний — «Republican» з 3%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Hawaii Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.