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НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
Polymarket

$6,457 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for Amanda McKinney

Amanda McKinney

$1,904 Обс.

96%

icon for John Duresky

John Duresky

$19 Обс.

74%

icon for Matt Boehnke

Matt Boehnke

$1,113 Обс.

17%

icon for Jerrod Sessler

Jerrod Sessler

$177 Обс.

10%

icon for Devin Pooré

Devin Pooré

$618 Обс.

5%

icon for Jack Kobiesa

Jack Kobiesa

$145 Обс.

4%

icon for Ken Vaz

Ken Vaz

$81 Обс.

2%

Zac Rossi

$279 Обс.

2%

icon for Favian Valencia

Favian Valencia

$114 Обс.

2%

icon for John Hughs

John Hughs

$232 Обс.

2%

icon for Carmen Black

Carmen Black

$1,340 Обс.

1%

icon for Elpidia Saavedra

Elpidia Saavedra

$436 Обс.

42%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Обсяг
$6,457
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Обсяг
$6,457
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«WA-04 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Amanda McKinney» з 96%, далі «John Duresky» з 74%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«WA-04 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 6, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «WA-04 Primary Winners», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «WA-04 Primary Winners» — «Amanda McKinney» з 96%. Наступний — «John Duresky» з 74%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «WA-04 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.