Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
31°C 44%
32°C 43%
33°C 10%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
44%
32°C
43%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 44%
32°C 43%
33°C 10%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
27°C
$38 Обс.
2%
28°C
$34 Обс.
3%
29°C
$47 Обс.
6%
30°C
$626 Обс.
6%
31°C
$672 Обс.
44%
32°C
$1,061 Обс.
43%
33°C
$409 Обс.
10%
34°C
$0 Обс.
6%
35°C
$0 Обс.
2%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,892Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,892Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 31°C or 32°C as Ankara’s highest temperature on September 6, with implied probabilities of 44% and 42.5%, reflecting close agreement across recent ensemble forecasts. Numerical models show daytime maxima hovering near these values under southerly advection of warmer air, modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that limit further warming. Key uncertainties include the precise track of an upper-level ridge and differences between ECMWF and GFS solutions regarding afternoon wind speeds and insolation. Updated model runs and observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання