Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 98°F for Austin on September 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and a strong late-summer ridge suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This setup favors daytime heating above the September average of roughly 93°F, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to humidity. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98-99°F bin as official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom align with these projections, while minor model spread around 96-101°F accounts for the secondary probabilities. Subtle steering changes or afternoon convection could trim the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 9?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 9?
98-99°F 60%
96-97°F 21%
100-101°F 18%
102-103°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 60%
96-97°F 21%
100-101°F 18%
102-103°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
87°F or below
$203 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$59 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$73 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$64 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$128 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$127 Обс.
21%
98-99°F
$2,207 Обс.
60%
100-101°F
$399 Обс.
18%
102-103°F
$55 Обс.
2%
104-105°F
$33 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$172 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 98°F for Austin on September 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and a strong late-summer ridge suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This setup favors daytime heating above the September average of roughly 93°F, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to humidity. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98-99°F bin as official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom align with these projections, while minor model spread around 96-101°F accounts for the secondary probabilities. Subtle steering changes or afternoon convection could trim the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,521Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 98°F for Austin on September 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and a strong late-summer ridge suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This setup favors daytime heating above the September average of roughly 93°F, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to humidity. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98-99°F bin as official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom align with these projections, while minor model spread around 96-101°F accounts for the secondary probabilities. Subtle steering changes or afternoon convection could trim the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,521Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 98°F for Austin on September 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and a strong late-summer ridge suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This setup favors daytime heating above the September average of roughly 93°F, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to humidity. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98-99°F bin as official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom align with these projections, while minor model spread around 96-101°F accounts for the secondary probabilities. Subtle steering changes or afternoon convection could trim the peak by a degree or two before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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