Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF runs indicate Amsterdam's September 7 high will likely reach the mid-20s Celsius, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front, combined with partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating under moderate pressure. This setup has positioned 24–26°C as the dominant market outcomes, with 25°C holding the plurality of implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the peak reading, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 7?
25°C 45%
24°C 32%
26°C 15%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
32%
25°C
45%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 45%
24°C 32%
26°C 15%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$20 Обс.
3%
23°C
$72 Обс.
7%
24°C
$383 Обс.
32%
25°C
$102 Обс.
45%
26°C
$126 Обс.
15%
27°C
$78 Обс.
4%
28°C
$10 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF runs indicate Amsterdam's September 7 high will likely reach the mid-20s Celsius, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front, combined with partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating under moderate pressure. This setup has positioned 24–26°C as the dominant market outcomes, with 25°C holding the plurality of implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the peak reading, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$790Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF runs indicate Amsterdam's September 7 high will likely reach the mid-20s Celsius, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front, combined with partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating under moderate pressure. This setup has positioned 24–26°C as the dominant market outcomes, with 25°C holding the plurality of implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the peak reading, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$790Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF runs indicate Amsterdam's September 7 high will likely reach the mid-20s Celsius, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front, combined with partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating under moderate pressure. This setup has positioned 24–26°C as the dominant market outcomes, with 25°C holding the plurality of implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the peak reading, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles expected overnight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key data points before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання