Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
92-93°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$85,772 Обс.
$85,772 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$85,772 Обс.
$85,772 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
77°F or below
$3,509 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$5,857 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$6,180 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$7,981 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$5,190 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$6,576 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$8,904 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$7,692 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$10,223 Обс.
Yes
94-95°F
$11,400 Обс.
No
96°F or higher
$12,261 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$85,772Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$85,772Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання