Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, at exactly 25°C, driven by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations showing the daily maximum peaked at 25°C during mid-afternoon under clear skies and northwest winds that capped warming. Current readings hover at 24°C late in the day, with declining solar angles and light breezes limiting further rises, aligning with World Meteorological Centre Beijing and AccuWeather model consensus forecasts. Realistic challenges include a late-evening station revision uncovering a 26°C outlier or prolonged clear conditions enabling a minor rebound, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this unlikely as CMA finalizes reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$124,103 Обс.
$124,103 Обс.
May 7, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$124,103 Обс.
$124,103 Обс.
May 7, 2026
20°C or below
$4,822 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,492 Обс.
No
22°C
$14,978 Обс.
No
23°C
$12,854 Обс.
No
24°C
$17,921 Обс.
No
25°C
$22,167 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$19,803 Обс.
No
27°C
$12,165 Обс.
No
28°C
$7,443 Обс.
No
29°C
$3,524 Обс.
No
30°C or higher
$2,935 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, at exactly 25°C, driven by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations showing the daily maximum peaked at 25°C during mid-afternoon under clear skies and northwest winds that capped warming. Current readings hover at 24°C late in the day, with declining solar angles and light breezes limiting further rises, aligning with World Meteorological Centre Beijing and AccuWeather model consensus forecasts. Realistic challenges include a late-evening station revision uncovering a 26°C outlier or prolonged clear conditions enabling a minor rebound, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this unlikely as CMA finalizes reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Обсяг
$124,103Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, at exactly 25°C, driven by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations showing the daily maximum peaked at 25°C during mid-afternoon under clear skies and northwest winds that capped warming. Current readings hover at 24°C late in the day, with declining solar angles and light breezes limiting further rises, aligning with World Meteorological Centre Beijing and AccuWeather model consensus forecasts. Realistic challenges include a late-evening station revision uncovering a 26°C outlier or prolonged clear conditions enabling a minor rebound, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this unlikely as CMA finalizes reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$124,103Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, at exactly 25°C, driven by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations showing the daily maximum peaked at 25°C during mid-afternoon under clear skies and northwest winds that capped warming. Current readings hover at 24°C late in the day, with declining solar angles and light breezes limiting further rises, aligning with World Meteorological Centre Beijing and AccuWeather model consensus forecasts. Realistic challenges include a late-evening station revision uncovering a 26°C outlier or prolonged clear conditions enabling a minor rebound, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this unlikely as CMA finalizes reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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