Recent model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources points to persistent Huaxi autumn rain patterns delivering widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 26, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. High humidity above 80 % and light easterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing boundary-layer mixing. Forecast spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation bands, with drier afternoon windows allowing brief rises toward 30 °C while heavier morning rain favors the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band, as traders weigh official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau guidance against ensemble variability in regional numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 26?
29°C 25%
28°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
23%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
22%
31°C
19%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
28°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
4%
25°C
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$0 Обс.
19%
27°C
$0 Обс.
23%
28°C
$0 Обс.
24%
29°C
$0 Обс.
25%
30°C
$0 Обс.
22%
31°C
$0 Обс.
19%
32°C
$0 Обс.
17%
33°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources points to persistent Huaxi autumn rain patterns delivering widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 26, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. High humidity above 80 % and light easterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing boundary-layer mixing. Forecast spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation bands, with drier afternoon windows allowing brief rises toward 30 °C while heavier morning rain favors the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band, as traders weigh official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau guidance against ensemble variability in regional numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources points to persistent Huaxi autumn rain patterns delivering widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 26, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. High humidity above 80 % and light easterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing boundary-layer mixing. Forecast spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation bands, with drier afternoon windows allowing brief rises toward 30 °C while heavier morning rain favors the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band, as traders weigh official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau guidance against ensemble variability in regional numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources points to persistent Huaxi autumn rain patterns delivering widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Chengdu on September 26, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. High humidity above 80 % and light easterly winds further moderate peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing boundary-layer mixing. Forecast spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation bands, with drier afternoon windows allowing brief rises toward 30 °C while heavier morning rain favors the lower end of the range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band, as traders weigh official Chengdu Meteorological Bureau guidance against ensemble variability in regional numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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