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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?

Ended: Apr 22

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

Ended: Apr 22

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

29°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$581,636 Обс.

29°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$581,636 Обс.

21°C or below

$18,446 Обс.

No

22°C

$4,539 Обс.

No

23°C

$4,466 Обс.

No

24°C

$8,278 Обс.

No

25°C

$26,970 Обс.

No

26°C

$29,152 Обс.

No

27°C

$59,288 Обс.

No

28°C

$246,538 Обс.

No

29°C

$110,327 Обс.

Yes

30°C

$45,915 Обс.

No

31°C or higher

$27,717 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$581,636
Дата завершення
Apr 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$581,636
Дата завершення
Apr 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 4?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «29°C» з 100%, далі «21°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?» згенерував $581.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?» — «29°C» з 100%. Наступний — «21°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.