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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?

Ended: Jun 12

Aug 1

Aug 3

Aug 4

Aug 5

Ended: Jun 12

Aug 1

Aug 3

Aug 4

Aug 5

30°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$220,204 Обс.

30°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$220,204 Обс.

23°C or below

$2,740 Обс.

No

24°C

$806 Обс.

No

25°C

$1,838 Обс.

No

26°C

$9,209 Обс.

No

27°C

$20,048 Обс.

No

28°C

$29,086 Обс.

No

29°C

$25,573 Обс.

No

30°C

$45,038 Обс.

Yes

31°C

$35,998 Обс.

No

32°C

$28,565 Обс.

No

33°C or higher

$21,303 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 30°C maximum for Hong Kong on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily reading that aligned precisely with this threshold. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory indicated above-normal temperatures for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends, while long-term June averages hover near 30°C with high humidity. Recent model guidance and regional conditions, including possible cloud cover or showers that moderated peak heating, supported this outcome over higher or lower bins. Minor uncertainty persists from micro-site variations or final data revisions, though the market-implied odds indicate strong consensus backed by real-capital assessment of the verified record.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$220,204
Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 30°C maximum for Hong Kong on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily reading that aligned precisely with this threshold. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory indicated above-normal temperatures for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends, while long-term June averages hover near 30°C with high humidity. Recent model guidance and regional conditions, including possible cloud cover or showers that moderated peak heating, supported this outcome over higher or lower bins. Minor uncertainty persists from micro-site variations or final data revisions, though the market-implied odds indicate strong consensus backed by real-capital assessment of the verified record.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$220,204
Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «30°C» з 100%, далі «23°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?» згенерував $220.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 10, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?» — «30°C» з 100%. Наступний — «23°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.