Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 32°C on September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds, as the northeast monsoon weakens and allows clearer skies. This aligns with model consensus showing daytime temperatures peaking near 31–32°C amid moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-September climatology when highs typically range 28–33°C. Trader positioning favors 32°C as the leading outcome due to these stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect limited warming potential before any further monsoon relaxation later in the week. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
30°C 18%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
18%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
30°C 18%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
25°C or below
$90 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$95 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$60 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$0 Обс.
7%
30°C
$0 Обс.
18%
31°C
$7 Обс.
26%
32°C
$89 Обс.
37%
33°C
$10 Обс.
11%
34°C
$40 Обс.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 32°C on September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds, as the northeast monsoon weakens and allows clearer skies. This aligns with model consensus showing daytime temperatures peaking near 31–32°C amid moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-September climatology when highs typically range 28–33°C. Trader positioning favors 32°C as the leading outcome due to these stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect limited warming potential before any further monsoon relaxation later in the week. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$392Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 32°C on September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds, as the northeast monsoon weakens and allows clearer skies. This aligns with model consensus showing daytime temperatures peaking near 31–32°C amid moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-September climatology when highs typically range 28–33°C. Trader positioning favors 32°C as the leading outcome due to these stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect limited warming potential before any further monsoon relaxation later in the week. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$392Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high of 32°C on September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds, as the northeast monsoon weakens and allows clearer skies. This aligns with model consensus showing daytime temperatures peaking near 31–32°C amid moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-September climatology when highs typically range 28–33°C. Trader positioning favors 32°C as the leading outcome due to these stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect limited warming potential before any further monsoon relaxation later in the week. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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