Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$250,809 Обс.
$250,809 Обс.
May 2, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$250,809 Обс.
$250,809 Обс.
May 2, 2026
27°C or below
$9,373 Обс.
No
28°C
$71,039 Обс.
No
29°C
$16,824 Обс.
No
30°C
$10,714 Обс.
No
31°C
$10,534 Обс.
No
32°C
$22,240 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$71,402 Обс.
No
34°C
$12,180 Обс.
No
35°C
$9,053 Обс.
No
36°C
$9,263 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$8,188 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Обсяг
$250,809Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$250,809Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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