Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds shifting southerly, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture. This aligns with climatological averages around 27.8°C for the date while reflecting current observational trends of gradual cooling from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 27–29°C with low precipitation risk, narrowing uncertainty and driving the market-implied probability for 28°C above 50%. Updated forecast briefings or model revisions could adjust resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
28°C 57%
27°C 22%
29°C 18%
26°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
22%
28°C
57%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
27°C 22%
29°C 18%
26°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$455 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$154 Обс.
1%
26°C
$286 Обс.
3%
27°C
$1,848 Обс.
22%
28°C
$1,394 Обс.
57%
29°C
$1,894 Обс.
18%
30°C
$118 Обс.
1%
31°C
$220 Обс.
1%
32°C
$216 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$756 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$523 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds shifting southerly, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture. This aligns with climatological averages around 27.8°C for the date while reflecting current observational trends of gradual cooling from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 27–29°C with low precipitation risk, narrowing uncertainty and driving the market-implied probability for 28°C above 50%. Updated forecast briefings or model revisions could adjust resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,864Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds shifting southerly, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture. This aligns with climatological averages around 27.8°C for the date while reflecting current observational trends of gradual cooling from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 27–29°C with low precipitation risk, narrowing uncertainty and driving the market-implied probability for 28°C above 50%. Updated forecast briefings or model revisions could adjust resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,864Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds shifting southerly, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal moisture. This aligns with climatological averages around 27.8°C for the date while reflecting current observational trends of gradual cooling from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 27–29°C with low precipitation risk, narrowing uncertainty and driving the market-implied probability for 28°C above 50%. Updated forecast briefings or model revisions could adjust resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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