Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Обс.
$31,321 Обс.
Jul 17, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Обс.
$31,321 Обс.
Jul 17, 2026
18°C or below
$686 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,551 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,442 Обс.
No
21°C
$4,882 Обс.
No
22°C
$3,148 Обс.
No
23°C
$4,315 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,914 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$2,622 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,900 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,702 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$1,160 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,321Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,321Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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