Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on June 21?
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$58,145 Обс.
$58,145 Обс.
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$58,145 Обс.
$58,145 Обс.
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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