Trader consensus on Polymarket centers implied probabilities for Munich's highest temperature on April 19 at 14–16°C (71% combined), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting midday highs in the mid-teens amid divergent handling of transient cloud bands from northwesterly flow. April 17's observed 19°C at Munich Airport under a high-pressure ridge marked a warm anomaly, but models anticipate moderation Saturday with partial cloudiness and low-level moisture capping solar insolation—earlier clearing could boost to 16°C via enhanced surface heating, while prolonged overcast favors 14°C. Historical April volatility in the region, with standard deviations of 3–4°C around 13°C climatology, underscores uncertainty; monitor DWD's next ICON run and ECMWF 00Z update for precipitation timing shifts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on April 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 19?
15°C 30%
16°C 22%
14°C 21%
17°C 12%
$11,193 Обс.
$11,193 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
30%
16°C
22%
17°C
12%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 30%
16°C 22%
14°C 21%
17°C 12%
$11,193 Обс.
$11,193 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
30%
16°C
22%
17°C
12%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers implied probabilities for Munich's highest temperature on April 19 at 14–16°C (71% combined), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting midday highs in the mid-teens amid divergent handling of transient cloud bands from northwesterly flow. April 17's observed 19°C at Munich Airport under a high-pressure ridge marked a warm anomaly, but models anticipate moderation Saturday with partial cloudiness and low-level moisture capping solar insolation—earlier clearing could boost to 16°C via enhanced surface heating, while prolonged overcast favors 14°C. Historical April volatility in the region, with standard deviations of 3–4°C around 13°C climatology, underscores uncertainty; monitor DWD's next ICON run and ECMWF 00Z update for precipitation timing shifts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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