Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on May 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 11?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 Обс.
$83,241 Обс.
May 11, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 Обс.
$83,241 Обс.
May 11, 2026
9°C or below
$766 Обс.
No
10°C
$499 Обс.
No
11°C
$1,908 Обс.
No
12°C
$3,022 Обс.
No
13°C
$5,293 Обс.
No
14°C
$3,691 Обс.
No
15°C
$7,469 Обс.
No
16°C
$8,828 Обс.
No
17°C
$12,137 Обс.
No
18°C
$13,437 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$26,192 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$83,241Дата завершення
May 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$83,241Дата завершення
May 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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