Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 Обс.
$112,681 Обс.
Jun 4, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 Обс.
$112,681 Обс.
Jun 4, 2026
75°F or below
$296 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$1,469 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$4,041 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$4,241 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$17,069 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$20,788 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$23,483 Обс.
Yes
88-89°F
$15,575 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$14,258 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$7,029 Обс.
No
94°F or higher
$4,432 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$112,681Дата завершення
Jun 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$112,681Дата завершення
Jun 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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