Marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow from the Pacific typically cap San Francisco highs near the long-term September average of 70°F, with the National Weather Service forecasting partly cloudy skies and a high around 67–70°F for September 6, 2026. Recent early-month observations show daily maxima of 69–71°F under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70–71°F bin. Model guidance indicates limited warming potential absent offshore flow or ridging, while coastal fog and afternoon sea breezes further moderate peaks. Historical analogs confirm that sustained marine influence rarely allows September 6 readings above 73°F without anomalous synoptic patterns, keeping lower-probability bins for 72°F+ outcomes subdued. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 6?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 6?
70-71°F 50%
68-69°F 35%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 50%
68-69°F 35%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
59°F or below
$914 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$346 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$179 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$273 Обс.
2%
66-67°F
$1,390 Обс.
4%
68-69°F
$2,037 Обс.
35%
70-71°F
$1,405 Обс.
50%
72-73°F
$552 Обс.
12%
74-75°F
$1,099 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$326 Обс.
1%
78°F or higher
$377 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow from the Pacific typically cap San Francisco highs near the long-term September average of 70°F, with the National Weather Service forecasting partly cloudy skies and a high around 67–70°F for September 6, 2026. Recent early-month observations show daily maxima of 69–71°F under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70–71°F bin. Model guidance indicates limited warming potential absent offshore flow or ridging, while coastal fog and afternoon sea breezes further moderate peaks. Historical analogs confirm that sustained marine influence rarely allows September 6 readings above 73°F without anomalous synoptic patterns, keeping lower-probability bins for 72°F+ outcomes subdued. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,899Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow from the Pacific typically cap San Francisco highs near the long-term September average of 70°F, with the National Weather Service forecasting partly cloudy skies and a high around 67–70°F for September 6, 2026. Recent early-month observations show daily maxima of 69–71°F under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70–71°F bin. Model guidance indicates limited warming potential absent offshore flow or ridging, while coastal fog and afternoon sea breezes further moderate peaks. Historical analogs confirm that sustained marine influence rarely allows September 6 readings above 73°F without anomalous synoptic patterns, keeping lower-probability bins for 72°F+ outcomes subdued. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,899Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow from the Pacific typically cap San Francisco highs near the long-term September average of 70°F, with the National Weather Service forecasting partly cloudy skies and a high around 67–70°F for September 6, 2026. Recent early-month observations show daily maxima of 69–71°F under similar conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the 70–71°F bin. Model guidance indicates limited warming potential absent offshore flow or ridging, while coastal fog and afternoon sea breezes further moderate peaks. Historical analogs confirm that sustained marine influence rarely allows September 6 readings above 73°F without anomalous synoptic patterns, keeping lower-probability bins for 72°F+ outcomes subdued. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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