**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 30?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$179,590 Обс.
$179,590 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$179,590 Обс.
$179,590 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
$66,405 Обс.
No
21°C
$66,819 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,933 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,136 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,302 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,179 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,584 Обс.
No
27°C
$9,287 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$6,203 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,612 Обс.
No
30°C or higher
$4,131 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$179,590Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$179,590Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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