**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by seasonal moderation in the eastern Mediterranean.** Persistent clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and negligible precipitation chances support stable afternoon highs near or slightly above the climatological September average of ~31°C. Recent above-average warmth early in the month has given way to gradual cooling, with no significant heat advection or blocking patterns expected. Model agreement remains high on dry conditions, though minor shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with 32°C leading implied probabilities as the most probable outcome under typical late-summer synoptic patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
34°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
34°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$83 Обс.
1%
29°C
$9 Обс.
2%
30°C
$0 Обс.
5%
31°C
$33 Обс.
18%
32°C
$93 Обс.
70%
33°C
$11 Обс.
10%
34°C
$0 Обс.
6%
35°C
$0 Обс.
2%
36°C
$57 Обс.
1%
37°C
$105 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$105 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by seasonal moderation in the eastern Mediterranean.** Persistent clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and negligible precipitation chances support stable afternoon highs near or slightly above the climatological September average of ~31°C. Recent above-average warmth early in the month has given way to gradual cooling, with no significant heat advection or blocking patterns expected. Model agreement remains high on dry conditions, though minor shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with 32°C leading implied probabilities as the most probable outcome under typical late-summer synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$495Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by seasonal moderation in the eastern Mediterranean.** Persistent clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and negligible precipitation chances support stable afternoon highs near or slightly above the climatological September average of ~31°C. Recent above-average warmth early in the month has given way to gradual cooling, with no significant heat advection or blocking patterns expected. Model agreement remains high on dry conditions, though minor shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with 32°C leading implied probabilities as the most probable outcome under typical late-summer synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$495Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF point to a daily maximum of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by seasonal moderation in the eastern Mediterranean.** Persistent clear skies, light to moderate northwest winds, and negligible precipitation chances support stable afternoon highs near or slightly above the climatological September average of ~31°C. Recent above-average warmth early in the month has given way to gradual cooling, with no significant heat advection or blocking patterns expected. Model agreement remains high on dry conditions, though minor shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus outputs heavily, with 32°C leading implied probabilities as the most probable outcome under typical late-summer synoptic patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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