Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 28?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,334 Обс.
$118,334 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,334 Обс.
$118,334 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
15°C or below
$1,110 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,442 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,685 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,443 Обс.
No
19°C
$6,938 Обс.
No
20°C
$13,406 Обс.
No
21°C
$19,426 Обс.
No
22°C
$11,922 Обс.
No
23°C
$24,718 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$15,986 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$15,259 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$118,334Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$118,334Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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