Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 2?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$70,884 Обс.
$70,884 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$70,884 Обс.
$70,884 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
17°C or below
$513 Обс.
No
18°C
$567 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,420 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,907 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,782 Обс.
No
22°C
$6,108 Обс.
No
23°C
$7,314 Обс.
No
24°C
$11,102 Обс.
No
25°C
$15,848 Обс.
No
26°C
$11,679 Обс.
Yes
27°C or higher
$10,643 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$70,884Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$70,884Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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