Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Zhengzhou on August 20, driven by thundery showers, persistent cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that cap daytime heating and increase evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, hotter patterns earlier in August. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, where reduced insolation or heavier rainfall could hold the maximum at or below 30°C while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation might allow brief warming to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official guidance overnight will clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 20?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 20?
31°C 44%
30°C 44%
32°C or higher 40%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
44%
31°C
44%
32°C or higher
40%
31°C 44%
30°C 44%
32°C or higher 40%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5 Обс.
1%
26°C
$5 Обс.
6%
27°C
$32 Обс.
12%
28°C
$0 Обс.
9%
29°C
$0 Обс.
11%
30°C
$0 Обс.
44%
31°C
$0 Обс.
44%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Zhengzhou on August 20, driven by thundery showers, persistent cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that cap daytime heating and increase evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, hotter patterns earlier in August. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, where reduced insolation or heavier rainfall could hold the maximum at or below 30°C while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation might allow brief warming to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official guidance overnight will clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Zhengzhou on August 20, driven by thundery showers, persistent cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that cap daytime heating and increase evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, hotter patterns earlier in August. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, where reduced insolation or heavier rainfall could hold the maximum at or below 30°C while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation might allow brief warming to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official guidance overnight will clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 30°C in Zhengzhou on August 20, driven by thundery showers, persistent cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that cap daytime heating and increase evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, hotter patterns earlier in August. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflects minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, where reduced insolation or heavier rainfall could hold the maximum at or below 30°C while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation might allow brief warming to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official guidance overnight will clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання