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Політика·House Primary

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·House Primary

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Christina Bohannan 94.0%

Travis Terrell 2.5%

Taylor Wettach 1.5%

Polymarket

$14,908 Обс.

Christina Bohannan 94.0%

Travis Terrell 2.5%

Taylor Wettach 1.5%

Polymarket

$14,908 Обс.

Christina Bohannan

$12,480 Обс.

94%

Travis Terrell

$2,428 Обс.

2%

Taylor Wettach

$0 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary reflects her overwhelming advantages as the prior nominee in 2022 and 2024, where she captured over 99% in each primary while mounting narrow general election challenges to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Recent Q1 FEC filings underscore her financial dominance, with $4 million cash-on-hand compared to Travis Terrell's $5,000, enabling superior advertising and ground operations ahead of the June 2 primary. Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal further consolidated support behind Bohannan, leaving Terrell—a grassroots working-class challenger—with minimal resources despite niche endorsements like AIPAC Tracker. Upsets would require a Bohannan scandal, Terrell fundraising surge, or progressive turnout shift, though structural barriers remain high given trader consensus on her battle-tested status.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,908
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary reflects her overwhelming advantages as the prior nominee in 2022 and 2024, where she captured over 99% in each primary while mounting narrow general election challenges to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Recent Q1 FEC filings underscore her financial dominance, with $4 million cash-on-hand compared to Travis Terrell's $5,000, enabling superior advertising and ground operations ahead of the June 2 primary. Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal further consolidated support behind Bohannan, leaving Terrell—a grassroots working-class challenger—with minimal resources despite niche endorsements like AIPAC Tracker. Upsets would require a Bohannan scandal, Terrell fundraising surge, or progressive turnout shift, though structural barriers remain high given trader consensus on her battle-tested status.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,908
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Christina Bohannan» з 94%, далі «Travis Terrell» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $14.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 25, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Christina Bohannan» з 94%. Наступний — «Travis Terrell» з 2%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.