Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker, seeking a third term without term limits in a state that leans heavily Democratic, holds a commanding position after winning his primary unopposed. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces the same structural challenges that produced double-digit losses in the 2018 and 2022 cycles. Recent polling averages and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Pritzker's consistent leads in battleground areas and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and urban turnout. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$2,057 Обс.
92%
Republican
$2,658 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker, seeking a third term without term limits in a state that leans heavily Democratic, holds a commanding position after winning his primary unopposed. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces the same structural challenges that produced double-digit losses in the 2018 and 2022 cycles. Recent polling averages and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Pritzker's consistent leads in battleground areas and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and urban turnout. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,715Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker, seeking a third term without term limits in a state that leans heavily Democratic, holds a commanding position after winning his primary unopposed. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces the same structural challenges that produced double-digit losses in the 2018 and 2022 cycles. Recent polling averages and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Pritzker's consistent leads in battleground areas and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and urban turnout. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$4,715Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker, seeking a third term without term limits in a state that leans heavily Democratic, holds a commanding position after winning his primary unopposed. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, faces the same structural challenges that produced double-digit losses in the 2018 and 2022 cycles. Recent polling averages and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Pritzker's consistent leads in battleground areas and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and urban turnout. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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