A US-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, 2026, halting intense exchanges of fire with Hezbollah after six weeks of escalation, including Israeli airstrikes deep into southern Lebanon. The agreement, announced by President Trump, excludes Hezbollah as a formal party but aims to enable direct Israel-Lebanon negotiations on Hezbollah disarmament, a security buffer zone, and lasting peace, with Israeli troops holding positions up to 10 km inside Lebanon. Hezbollah acknowledged the truce without full commitment, warning of responses to violations, while displaced civilians began returning home amid reports of minor breaches. Traders watch for extension beyond April 27 or breakdown risks tied to parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоІзраїль x Хезболла припинення вогню шляхом...?
Ізраїль x Хезболла припинення вогню шляхом...?
$61,521,404 Обс.
Apr 15, 2026
18 квітня
100%
$61,521,404 Обс.
18 квітня
$47,494,268 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A US-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, 2026, halting intense exchanges of fire with Hezbollah after six weeks of escalation, including Israeli airstrikes deep into southern Lebanon. The agreement, announced by President Trump, excludes Hezbollah as a formal party but aims to enable direct Israel-Lebanon negotiations on Hezbollah disarmament, a security buffer zone, and lasting peace, with Israeli troops holding positions up to 10 km inside Lebanon. Hezbollah acknowledged the truce without full commitment, warning of responses to violations, while displaced civilians began returning home amid reports of minor breaches. Traders watch for extension beyond April 27 or breakdown risks tied to parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,521,404Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Так
Оскаржено
Результат запропоновано: Так
Оскаржено
Фінальний перегляд
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A US-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, 2026, halting intense exchanges of fire with Hezbollah after six weeks of escalation, including Israeli airstrikes deep into southern Lebanon. The agreement, announced by President Trump, excludes Hezbollah as a formal party but aims to enable direct Israel-Lebanon negotiations on Hezbollah disarmament, a security buffer zone, and lasting peace, with Israeli troops holding positions up to 10 km inside Lebanon. Hezbollah acknowledged the truce without full commitment, warning of responses to violations, while displaced civilians began returning home amid reports of minor breaches. Traders watch for extension beyond April 27 or breakdown risks tied to parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Обсяг
$61,521,404Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Так
Оскаржено
Результат запропоновано: Так
Оскаржено
Фінальний перегляд
A US-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 17, 2026, halting intense exchanges of fire with Hezbollah after six weeks of escalation, including Israeli airstrikes deep into southern Lebanon. The agreement, announced by President Trump, excludes Hezbollah as a formal party but aims to enable direct Israel-Lebanon negotiations on Hezbollah disarmament, a security buffer zone, and lasting peace, with Israeli troops holding positions up to 10 km inside Lebanon. Hezbollah acknowledged the truce without full commitment, warning of responses to violations, while displaced civilians began returning home amid reports of minor breaches. Traders watch for extension beyond April 27 or breakdown risks tied to parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання